目录
摘要Ⅱ
关键词Ⅱ
AbstractⅢ
引言
一、引言1
二、文献综述1
（一）逆向技术溢出存在性研究1
（二）OFDI逆向技术溢出对技术进步影响研究2
（三）OFDI逆向技术溢出对全要素生产率影响研究2
（四）OFDI逆向技术溢出对全要素能源效率影响研究3
（五）文献评述3
三、分析框架与数据来源3
（一）模型构建3
（二）变量选取4
1.OFDI逆向技术溢出的测度4
2.全要素能源效率的计算4
3.控制变量的选择4
（三）数据说明6
四、实证结果与分析7
（一）平稳性及协整检验7
（二）共线性检验8
（三）门槛效应检验8
（四）回归结果及分析9
五、研究结论与政策建议 10
参考文献11
附表113
附表214
致谢15
OFDI逆向技术溢出对中国全要素能源效率影响研究
——基于“一带一路”沿线国实证分析
摘 要
目前是“一带一路”战略发展黄金时期，我国对“一带一路”沿线国家的直接投资额逐年递增，对此高投资流量和存量成为我国获得逆向技术溢出的重要突破口。与此同时我国能源消耗也在增加，能源投入对于经济发展尤为重要。在此背景下，本文研究对“一带一路”沿线国家直接投资的逆向技术溢出对我国全要素能源效率的影响。先通过LP公式量化逆向技术溢出，再用SBM超效率模型计算我国各个省级行政单位的全要素能源效率，最后用门槛面板模型进行回归。结果表明，“一带一路”沿线国家OFDI的逆向技术溢出对我国全要素能源效率存在双门槛效应。当地技术创新水平较低时，OFDI逆向技术溢出对当地全要素能源效率具有显著正向影响，且影响幅度较大。随着门槛值的升高，技术差距变小，OFDI逆向技术溢出对全要素能源效率的正向影响幅度变小，在跨过第二道门槛时出现负向影响。
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ESEARCH ON THE IMPACT OF OFDI REVERSE TECHNOLOGY SPILLOVER ON CHINA ’S TOTAL FACTOR ENERGY EFFICIENCY——BASED ON THE EMPIRICAL ANALYSIS OF THE COUNTRIES ALONG THE “BELT AND ROAD”
ABSTRACT
Now is the golden period for the development of the “Belt and Road” strategy. China ’s direct investment in countries along the “Belt and Road” has been increasing year by year. For this reason, high investment flows and stocks have become an important breakthrough for China to obtain reverse technology spillovers. At the same time, Chinas energy consumption is also increasing, and energy input is particularly important for economic development. In this context, this paper studies the impact of reverse technology spillovers on direct investment in countries along the “Belt and Road” on Chinas total factor energy efficiency. First quantify the reverse technology spillover through the LP formula, then use the SBM superefficiency model to calculate the total factor energy efficiency of each provincial administrative unit in China, and finally use the threshold panel model for regression. The results show that OFDI reverse technology spillovers in countries along the “Belt and Road” have a double threshold effect on Chinas total factor energy efficiency. When the local technological innovation level is low, OFDI reverse technology spillovers have a significant positive impact on the local total factor energy efficiency, and the impact is larger. As the threshold increases, the technology gap becomes smaller, and the positive impact of OFDI reverse technology spillover on total factor energy efficiency becomes smaller, and a negative impact occurs when the second threshold is crossed.

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