目录
摘要 I
关键词 I
ABSTRACT II
引言
一、 引言 1
（一）研究背景 1
（二）研究目的及意义 1
（三）研究内容 2
（四）研究方法 2
（五）可能的创新点与不足 2
二、文献回顾 2
（一）高温对经济发展的影响 2
（二）高温对健康的危害 3
（三）高温与认知：面板数据的应用 4
（四）潜在研究方向 4
三、数据选取、模型设定与描述统计 5
（一）数据来源 5
（二）模型设定 5
（三）描述性统计 6
四、实证结果分析 7
（一）基础模型结果 8
（二）适应性行为—以空调为例 10
（三）安慰剂检验 11
（四）稳健性检验 12
（五）异质性分析 13
五、总结与建议 14
参考文献 14
附录 17
致谢 18
气候变化与人力资本：高温是否会影响农村中老年人认知？
摘 要
全球气候变化加剧，诸如高温等极端天气的发生频率和强度也明显增加。高温会显著影响人体健康，进而可能会降低人力资本。本文基于中国健康与养老追踪调查（CHARLS）数据，针对高温对农村中老年人认知能力的影响进行了实证分析。不同于以往针对青年群体的关注，本研究发现高温对于农村中老年人的认知能力具有显著负向影响，研究发现温度每增加1℃，农村中老年人的认知能力将下降样本平均得分的1%，同时，高温的影响还具有显著的3天滞后影响。此外，异质性分析结果表明农村中年女性个体认知能力更易受到高温的负面影响。本文针对高温对农村中老年人认知影响的实证证据一方面有助于确证高温对于农村中老年人认知的真实损害，另一方面，在气候变化背景下极端高温频发的现状下，可为政府采取积极措施应对气候变化，提升中老年人健康水平提供科学依据。
CLIMATE CHANGE AND HUMAN CAPITAL:WHETHER HEAT STRESS AF *51今日免费论文网|www.51jrft.com +Q: ^351916072^ 
FECT THE COGNITIVE ABILITIES OF RURAL MIDDLEAGED AND ELDERLY PEOPLE?
ABSTRACT
Global climate change has intensified, and the frequency and intensity of extreme weather such as high temperatures have also increased significantly. High temperatures can significantly affect human health, which in turn may reduce human capital. Based on China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study data, this paper explores the impacts of high temperature on cognitive abilities of rural middleaged and elderly people. Different from the previous research focusing on youth groups, this study found that high temperature has a significant negative effect on the cognitive ability of rural middleaged and elderly people. The study found that for every 1 ° C increase in HSDD, the cognitive ability of rural middleaged and elderly people will decrease by 1%. At the same time, the effect of high temperature also has a significant 3day lag effect. In addition, heterogeneity analysis shows that rural women who aged between 40 and 60 are more sensitive to the high temperature. This paper can help confirm the true damage of high temperature to the cognition of rural middleaged and elderly people. On the other hand, under the current situation of extreme high temperature in the context of climate change, it can provide the government with scientific evidence to take positive measures to deal with climate change and improve the health of middleaged and elderly people.

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