目录
摘要II
关键词II
AbstractIII
引言
引言1
（一）研究背景与问题提出1
（二）研究内容、方法与技术路线2
（三）创新与不足之处3
二、文献综述4
三、影响机制分析5
（一）抑制效应6
（二）促进效应7
四、中国人口性别结构和贸易出口的现状分析8
（一）中国人口性别结构现状8
（二）中国对外贸易出口现状10
五、中国人口性别结构影响贸易出口的实证分析12
（一）计量模型设定与变量说明12
1.模型 12
2.变量解释、数据说明及描述性统计12
（二）模型回归与结果分析13
1.回归结果分析13
2.稳健性检验15
六、研究结论与政策建议 16
参考文献18
致谢20
人口性别结构对中国贸易出口的影响研究
摘 要
我国地域辽阔、人口众多，各地区由于要素禀赋的差异存在着发展不平衡的问题，人口和外贸作为拉动经济增长的两大重要动力，也正经历着新时期发展阶段。本文将从人口结构中的人口性别结构角度切入，利用理论逻辑从抑制效应和促进效应两方面分析人口性别结构对贸易出口的影响机理，整理20002018年中国31省市的面板数据，总结了全国和各地区不同程度的人口性别结构失衡问题和处在总体平稳上升趋势的贸易出口现状，并运用固定效应模型实证分析人口性别结构对中国贸易出口的影响。结论表明：人口性别结构的失衡程度对中国贸易出口具有负向影响。因此，应当采取措施缓解人口性别结构失衡现状，同时，各地区需顺应人口政策和当地人口结构现状来制定与之相适应的产业政策，推动我国出口结构转型，充分发挥贸易出口优势，促进经济协调可持续发展。
RESEARCH ON THE INFLUENCE OF POPULATION GENDER STRUCTURE ON CHINA’S TRADE EXPORT
ABSTRACT
There is a vast  *51今日免费论文网|www.51jrft.com +Q: ^351916072# 
territory and a large population in China. Due to the difference of factor endowments, the problem of unbalanced development exists in each region. As two important driving forces for economic growth, population and foreign trade are also experiencing a new stage of development. This paper will start from the perspective of population gender structure, and use theoretical logic to analyze the impact mechanism of population gender structure on trade export from two aspects of inhibition effect and promotion effect, collate the panel data of 31 provinces and cities in China in 20002018, and summarize the imbalance of population gender structure in different degrees in the whole country and various regions and the trade export in the overall stable upward trend The current situation, and the use of fixed effect model empirical analysis of gender structure on Chinas trade exports. The conclusion shows that the imbalance of population gender structure has a negative impact on Chinas trade exports. Therefore, measures should be taken to alleviate the imbalance of population gender structure. At the same time, all regions need to comply with the population policy and the current situation of local population structure to formulate appropriate industrial policies, promote the transformation of Chinas export structure, give full play to the advantages of export, and promote the sustainable development of economic coordination.
KEY WORDS: population gender structure; trade export; labor supply;competitive savings
引言

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