目录
摘要Ⅱ
关键词Ⅱ
AbstractⅢ
引言
一、引言1
二、文献综述1
三、中菲水果产业内贸易现状分析4
（一）中菲水果贸易发展概况.............4
1.中国与菲律宾贸易现状..........4
2.中菲水果贸易现状5
3.中菲水果贸易结构分析6
（二）产业内贸易现状7
1.中菲产业内贸易水平测量方法7
2.中菲产业内贸易水平指数分析结果7
四、中菲水果产业内贸易影响因素的实证分析8
（一）变量选取与数据来源8
1.产业内贸易指数8
2.两国平均GDP9
3.人均国民收入差距9
4.中国实际利用菲律宾外商投资额9
5.汇率10
（二）模型构建10
（三）实证结果与检验10
1. OLS回归模型10
2.异方差检验12
3.自相关检验12
（四）实证结果分析13
五、研究结论与政策建议14
1.研究结论14
2.政策建议14
参考文献14
致谢16
中国与菲律宾水果产业内贸易及影响因素
摘 要
随着经济的发展，经济结构也在发展与转型,国与国之间的贸易模式从产业间贸易逐渐向产业内贸易转换,产业内贸易与经济结构转型正不断推进经济的增长以及社会的进步。中国与菲律宾的商业交流不断增多，显著体现为不断增长的贸易总额,逐渐在全世界的区域贸易中崭露头角。水果是中菲贸易量最大的农产品，在两国经济中占有重要地位。庞大的人口数量及持续增长的水果需求使得中国与菲律宾的水果产业内贸易的比重不断提高。本文梳理了产业内贸易的相关理论，综述了以水果为代表的产业内贸易情况的研究，对中菲贸易现状进行了阐述，依据计算的GL指数进行定量研究，而后选取了四个变量来探究它们对中菲水果产业内贸易的影响程度，最后得出了这样的结论：两国平均GDP和两国人均国民收入差距对中菲水果产业内贸易有正向促进作 *51今日免费论文网|www.51jrft.com +Q: ￥351916072$ 
用；而中国实际利用菲律宾外商投资对其则有负面影响；中菲汇率对中菲水果产业内贸易水平无显著影响。
INTRAINDUSTRY TRADE OF FRUITS BETWEEN CHINA AND THE PHILIPPINES AND ITS INFLUENCING FACTORS
ABSTRACT
With the development of economy, the economic structure is also developing and transforming. The trade mode between countries is gradually transforming from interindustry trade to intraindustry trade. The growing commercial exchanges between China and the Philippines are reflected in the growing volume of trade and are gradually gaining ground in regional trade throughout the world Fruit is the largest agricultural product in SinoPhilippine trade and plays an important role in the economy of both countries. The huge population and the growing demand for fruits have made the intraindustry trade between China and the Philippines increase continuously. This paper sorted out the relevant theories of intraindustry trade, summarized the relevant economic studies on intraindustry trade of fruits and other products, listed the current trade situation between China and the Philippines, calculated the measurement index gl index of intraindustry trade, and finally made an empirical analysis of the influencing factors of intraindustry trade, concluding that the average GDP of the two countries and the per capita national income gap between the two countries have a positive effect on intraindustry trade between China and the Philippines. However, Chinas actual utilization of foreign investment in the Philippines has a negative impact on it. The exchange rate of China and the Philippines has no significant effect on the level of intraindustry trade between China and the Philippines.

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