目录
摘要1
关键词1
Abstract1
Key words1
引言1
一、理论与文献回顾2
（一）可持续生计理论2
（二）文献回顾3
二、数据与方法3
（一）数据来源3
（二）分析框架4
（三）方法模型4
1.二元Probit模型4
2.倾向得分匹配4
（四）变量选择5
三、实证结果6
（一）农民工生计选择与收入现状6
四、政策启示8
致谢10
参考文献11
——基于CLDS追踪数据
The Impact of Professional Technical Training
on Migrant Workers Livelihood Choices and Income
Based on CLDS Tracking Data
Student majoring in Human resource management Runsong Li
Tutor Suyan Shen
Abstract: Using the "dynamic survey data of Chinas labor force" in 2014 and 2016, the article used the binary probit model and the propensity score matching method to estimate the impact of professional technical training on the livelihood choice and income of migrant workers. The study found that professional technical training had increased the proportion of migrant workers choosing employees by 17%, t *景先生毕设|www.jxszl.com +Q: &351916072& 
he proportion of selfemployment and farming decreased by 12% and 8% respectively. Accordingly, professional technical training had raised the annual income of migrant workers by 7307 yuan, of which the livelihood of the migrant workers who were employed as employees and the net effect of increasing the income was 5023 yuan. However, the income change of migrant workers who chose to selfemployment and farming were not significant. It means that professional technical training is effective in increasing the employment opportunities and income of migrant workers. Migrant workers have improved their working skills after receiving professional technical training. It can create more value for employers, better reflect market value, and transfer livelihood choices to employees.
引言
自二十世纪八十年代以来，中国区域发展不平衡和流动人口放松管制，为了寻找工作，大量农村居民从欠发达地区涌入发达地区[1]。数据显示，2017年我国农民工总规模已达2.86亿人，相比于 2012年共增加2391万人，年均增速1.8%。在大力推进城镇化的进程中，大规模进城就业的农村劳动力提供了强劲的动力。由于农民工经济收入较低，致使其在教育培训等个人能力提升方面的投资受到较大的限制，与城镇非私营单位就业人员的差距进一步拉大，使其在社会和心理等方面难以融入城镇[2]。
理论与文献回顾
可持续生计理论
可持续生计是指个人或家庭所拥有和获得的、能用于谋生和改善长远生活状况的资产、能力和收入活动的集合[6]。可持续生计最早是用于解决贫困问题的理论工具[7]，它以人为中心，强调地方参与，多角度多原因地分析贫困问题，并给出多种解决方案。经过不断的创新与完善，可持续生计以由早期的概念发展成为较为成熟和完善的理论框架。当前，可持续生计已在世界各地的扶贫研究与实践中得以广泛运用。
目前，经过众多学者和公共部门的研究与实践，可持续生计已经发展出多种不同的分析框架，其中最具代表性的是英国国际发展署的可持续生计分析框架[8]。根据该框架，研究对象对其拥有的生计资本进行组合，从中选择与自身状况更为匹配，更加合适的生计方式；同时，在可持续生计框架中，各类资产的易获性及农户对各类资产的运用往往会受到外在趋势，社会环境等外在因素的干扰和冲击。

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